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DELCATH SYSTEMS, INC. (DCTH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered strong top-line and profitability: revenue $24.16M (+210% YoY), gross margin 86%, diluted EPS $0.07, and adjusted EBITDA $9.82M; U.S. HEPZATO KIT revenue was $22.5M and Europe CHEMOSAT revenue $1.7M .
- Results exceeded Wall Street consensus: revenue beat by ~$1.14M and EPS beat by ~$0.0467; beats were driven by consistent utilization (~2 treatments/month/site) across 20 active centers and expanding referral networks, while NDRA/340B impacts start in Q3 (ASP headwind) . Estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.
- Guidance tightened: FY25 revenue nudged down to $93–$96M (from $94–$98M), gross margin maintained at 83–85%, and management expects positive adjusted EBITDA and cash flow in each quarter; YE active sites revised to 25–28 (from 30) due to large-institution onboarding complexity .
- Near-term catalysts: NDRA/340B implementation (50% kit mix at discounted pricing from 7/1), Phase II CRC first patient randomized, and CHOPIN randomized Phase II PFS readout at ESMO in October that could inform IO-combination strategies and adoption narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong growth and profitability: revenue $24.16M (+210% YoY), net income $2.70M vs loss a year ago, adjusted EBITDA $9.82M, operating cash flow $7.3M; cash/investments $81.0M, no debt .
- Commercial execution: 3 new U.S. centers activated (now 20 active) with ~2 treatments/month/site; sales force expanded to 6 regions and “hit their stride” per CEO .
- Strategic access progress: NDRA/340B participation commenced 7/1, enhancing coverage/access; management expects long-term volume tailwinds despite near-term ASP headwinds; ~50% of kits at 340B prices thus far .
Quote: “This quarter marks the fifth consecutive quarter of site and HEPZATO volume growth… average treatments were approximately two per month per center” .
What Went Wrong
- Site activation pace slower than prior expectations: YE active centers revised to 25–28 (vs 30), reflecting complex onboarding at large academic centers (e.g., perfusion services gating) .
- Anticipated NDRA/340B ASP headwind: Q3 average revenue per kit expected to be 10–15% lower than Q2; volume may offset over time but quantification uncertain .
- Higher OpEx trajectory: R&D up 37% QoQ in Q2, with further 40% QoQ increase in Q3 and 25–30% in Q4; SG&A elevated by commercial expansion and stock-based comp, pressuring near-term margins even as EBITDA stays positive .
Financial Results
Segment/Product Revenue
KPIs
Estimates vs Actuals
Bold beats: Q1 revenue/eps beat; Q2 revenue/eps beat.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Based on the current pace, 25 to 28 operational centers are expected by the end of the fourth quarter… we have set a goal of 40 sites by the end of next year.”
- “Volume distribution under the 340B program is expected to remain at roughly 50%… in the third quarter, the estimated net effect will be a 10% to 15% reduction from the second quarter average revenue per HEPZATO kit.”
- “We anticipate patient dosing for the metastatic colorectal trial to begin within weeks, with the first patient having been randomized just yesterday.”
- “During the second quarter, average treatments were approximately two per month per center, with expectations for similar averages for the remainder of the year.”
- CFO: “Non-GAAP positive adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $9.8 million… we ended the quarter with approximately $81,000,000 in cash and investments… and no outstanding debt obligations.”
Q&A Highlights
- NDRA/340B impact: Management expects long-term volume benefits as portfolio economics improve for participating hospitals, but near-term ASP headwind of 10–15% in Q3; too early to quantify volume lift .
- Site activation drivers and hurdles: Perfusion services credentialing and contracting is a key gating item; company is proactively securing external perfusion providers and earlier onboarding steps to accelerate timelines .
- Utilization and capacity: Average ~2 treatments/month/site expected through year-end; management pursuing training of second teams and room-time increases to grow capacity beyond two treatments/site/month over time .
- R&D spend cadence: Q2 R&D up ~37% vs Q1; expected +40% in Q3 and +25–30% in Q4; stock-based comp is a notable portion; CRC/Breast trials advancing .
- Guidance clarifications: FY revenue tightened modestly; change driven ~two-thirds by HEPZATO and ~one-third by CHEMOSAT; CHEMOSAT’s small number of contributing sites can create volatility .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 revenue and EPS beat consensus: Revenue $24.16M vs $23.02M*; EPS $0.07 vs $0.02333* .
- Q1 2025 also beat: Revenue $19.784M vs $16.83M*; EPS $0.03 vs $0.015* .
- With NDRA/340B now active, estimates may need to reflect lower ASPs in Q3, offset by volume growth as access improves; management reiterated positive adjusted EBITDA and cash flow each quarter .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 was a clean beat on both revenue and EPS with robust profitability; strength stemmed from consistent utilization across expanding centers and disciplined commercial execution .
- Expect Q3 ASP headwinds from NDRA/340B (-10–15% per kit) while access broadens; volume growth should partially offset, but ASP mix warrants near-term model adjustments .
- FY25 revenue nudged down to $93–$96M and YE sites to 25–28; operational complexity at major centers is the key gating factor—capacity initiatives (perfusion, second teams) are critical to upside .
- Pipeline execution is accelerating: CRC Phase II dosing begun; breast to follow; ESMO CHOPIN readout is a near-term sentiment catalyst for IO combinations and broader use narrative .
- Gross margin remains strong at 86%; despite R&D ramp, management expects positive adjusted EBITDA and cash flow each quarter—cash/investments $81M and no debt enhance flexibility .
- For trading: watch ESMO in October and Q3 print for ASP/mix clarity; continued site activations and capacity expansion updates are key to sustaining revenue trajectory amid NDRA pricing dynamics .
- Medium-term thesis: expanding indications (CRC/breast) and combination strategies (IO) can leverage current footprint and clinical momentum; Europe remains strategically important for data while revenue contribution stays modest near term .